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Harley-Davidson year-over-year Q3 revenue down 5.8%

RP news wires, Noria Corporation
Harley-Davidson Inc. on October 19 announced its results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2007. Revenue for the quarter was $1.54 billion compared to $1.64 billion in the year ago quarter, a 5.8 percent decrease. Net income for the quarter was $265.0 million compared to $312.7 million, a decrease of 15.3 percent vs. the third quarter of 2006. Third-quarter diluted earnings per share were $1.07, a 10.8 percent decrease compared to last year’s $1.20. During the third quarter, the company repurchased $509 million of its common stock.

“Harley-Davidson’s third-quarter financial results are disappointing but not unexpected. In early September, we announced that we would reduce planned motorcycle shipments for the rest of 2007, and our results for the quarter are consistent with the Company’s revised guidance,” said Jim Ziemer, chief executive officer of Harley-Davidson, Inc. “Worldwide retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles during the third quarter were virtually flat with the third quarter of 2006, down 0.2 percent. U.S. retail sales continued to be sluggish, finishing down 2.5 percent for the quarter, while retail sales in our international markets grew 8.8 percent during the period."

For the full year of 2007, the company expects a shipment range of 328,000 to 332,000 Harley-Davidson motorcycles, compared to 349,196 units in 2006. The company also expects a modest decline in revenue and lower operating margin in 2007. Diluted earnings per share for the full year are expected to decrease 4 to 6 percent compared to 2006.

Looking ahead to 2008, the company anticipates that the U.S. retail motorcycle environment will continue to be challenging. It expects moderate revenue growth, lower operating margin and diluted earnings per share to grow between 4 and 7 percent compared to 2007.

“For the longer term, I am optimistic and confident about our future,” said Ziemer. “Harley-Davidson has a strong business model, and we will continue to manage the company in a manner that strengthens our brand and contributes to lasting success for all of our stakeholders.”

Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(Unaudited)
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
Three months ended
Nine months ended
September 30,
September 24,
September 30,
September 24,
2007
2006
2007
2006
Net revenue $1,541,401 $1,635,916 $4,340,494 $4,298,053
Gross profit 591,353 652,255 1,619,566 1,661,795
Operating expenses 233,068 218,243 639,512 590,503
  Operating income from motorcycles & related products 358,285 434,012 980,054 1,071,292
Financial services income 98,471 97,344 319,964 291,812
Financial services expense 49,002 42,154 146,349 128,734
Operating income from financial services 49,469 55,190 173,615 163,078
Corporate expenses 2,292 5,215 13,763 16,723
Income from operations 405,462 483,987 1,139,906 1,217,647
Investment income and other, net 5,353 4,659 19,432 17,861
Income before provision for income taxes 410,815 488,646 1,159,338 1,235,508
Provision for income taxes 145,849 175,912 411,572 444,781
Net income $264,966 $312,734 $747,766 $790,727
Earnings per common share:
  Basic $1.07 $1.20 $2.96 $2.96
  Diluted $1.07 $1.20 $2.95 $2.96
Weighted-average common shares:
  Basic 247,057 260,270 252,513 266,772
  Diluted 247,614 261,229 253,263 267,525
Cash dividends per common share $0.30 $0.21 $0.76 $0.60
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(In thousands)
(Unaudited) (Unaudited)
September 30,
December 31,
September 24,
2007
2006
2006
ASSETS
Current Assets:
    Cash and cash equivalents $401,385 $238,397 $506,139
    Marketable securities 55,355 658,133 446,543
    Accounts receivable, net 185,208 143,049 149,951
    Finance receivables held for sale 431,843 547,106 100,109
    Finance receivables held for investment, net 1,275,590 1,554,260 1,273,841
    Inventories 376,950 287,798 281,536
    Other current assets 130,126 121,890 124,837
Total current assets 2,856,457 3,550,633 2,882,956
Finance receivables held for investment, net 861,138 725,957 706,695
Other long-term assets 1,253,365 1,255,560 1,443,411
$4,970,960 $5,532,150 $5,033,062
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current liabilities:
    Accounts payable & accrued liabilities $962,250 $763,186 $880,294
    Current portion of finance debt 250,168 832,491 96,374
Total current liabilities 1,212,418 1,595,677 976,668
Finance debt 980,000 870,000 900,000
Postretirement healthcare benefits 207,957 201,126 70,571
Other long-term liabilities 207,582 108,610 239,452
Total shareholders' equity 2,363,003 2,756,737 2,846,371
   $4,970,960 $5,532,150 $5,033,062
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Unaudited)
 (In thousands)
Nine months ended
September 30,
September 24,
2007
2006
Net cash provided by operating activities $1,368,257 $1,283,580
Cash flows from investing activities:
  Capital expenditures (139,437) (137,468)
  Finance receivables held for investment, net (92,147) (75,710)
  Collection of retained securitization interests 87,827 73,974
  Net change in marketable securities 604,927 464,641
  Other, net 1,696 2,512
Net cash provided by investing activities 462,866 327,949
Cash flows from financing activities:
  Proceeds from issuance of medium term notes            -            -
  Net decrease in finance-credit
    facilities and commercial paper (506,938) (208,996)
  Dividends (189,093) (158,738)
  Purchase of common stock for treasury (1,000,133) (910,957)
  Excess tax benefits from share-based payments 3,057 3,550
  Issuance of common stock under employee
    stock option plans 21,429 25,882
Net cash used by financing activities (1,671,678) (1,249,259)
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash
  and cash equivalents 3,543 2,894
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 162,988 365,164
Cash and cash equivalents:
  At beginning of period 238,397 140,975
  At end of period $401,385 $506,139
Net Revenue and Motorcycle 
Shipment Data
(Unaudited)
Three months ended
Nine months ended
September 30,
September 24,
September 30,
September 24,
2007
2006
2007
2006
NET REVENUE (in thousands)
Harley-Davidson® motorcycles $1,182,628 $1,293,358 $3,328,309 $3,329,700
Buell® motorcycles 22,527 21,423 72,795 74,826
Parts & Accessories 251,499 248,448 703,107 683,100
General Merchandise 83,185 71,251 232,011 206,873
Other 1,562 1,436 4,272 3,554
$1,541,401 $1,635,916 $4,340,494 $4,298,053
HARLEY-DAVIDSON UNITS
Motorcycle shipments:
  United States 65,756 80,398 182,447 198,720
  Export 20,779 16,648 66,966 57,628
Total   86,535 97,046 249,413 256,348
Motorcycle product mix:
  Touring 28,461 36,041 84,934 90,914
  Custom 39,488 44,096 109,576 116,604
  Sportster® 18,586 16,909 54,903 48,830
Total 86,535 97,046 249,413 256,348
BUELL UNITS
Motorcycle shipments:
  Buell 2,639 2,529 8,376 9,105
Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles
Year to Date September


2007 2006
United States 215,092 225,623
Europe* 32,594 28,131
Japan 10,028 9,707
Canada 12,855 12,195
All other markets 13,393 10,989
Total Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles 283,962 286,645
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