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Adults in U.S., European nations have little faith in politicians to handle fiscal crisis

RP news wires

A new Financial Times/Harris Poll finds that adults in the U.S. and the five largest European countries do not have much trust in their political leaders to deal effectively with the current fiscal crisis. Just under half of Germans (45 percent), two in five French adults (40%), just under two in five Americans (39%), Spaniards (38%) and Italians (37%), and one-third of Britons (34%) say they do not trust politicians in their country at all to effectively deal with the fiscal crisis. Between 23% and 37% say they trust the politicians in their country just a little.

These are some of the findings of a Financial Times/Harris Poll conducted online by Harris Interactive among 6,289 adults aged 16-64 in France (1,062), Germany (1,002), Great Britain (1,127), Spain (1,022) and the United States (1,058) and adults aged 18-64 in Italy (1,018) between May 25 and June 2, 2010.

Spending cuts vs. raising taxes
There are two ways for governments to reduce deficits: either cut public spending or raise taxes. Not surprisingly, only between 3% and 6% of adults in these six countries would prefer to see higher taxes to spending cuts, and between 9% and 17% would prefer to see a mixture of these two options, but with the tax increases playing the larger part. Half of Italians (50%) and just under half of Spaniards (48%) and French (48%) would prefer spending cuts to paying higher taxes. Just under half of Britons (47%) and two in five Americans (40%) would prefer to see a mixture of the two options, but with spending cuts bearing the larger part of the burden. Germans are split - 42% would want to see spending cuts over taxes and the same number would prefer a mixture but with spending cuts being the focus.

Strong majorities in the U.S. (80%), Germany (77%), France (73%), Spain (72%), Italy (71%) and Great Britain (65%) all think their government should find a way of consulting them and other citizens before deciding where spending cuts should be made.

The impact on families
While people realize that potential spending cuts will have an impact on their family, there is a sense they will be moderate, and will not affect them a lot or a great deal. One-quarter of Italians (25%), just under one-quarter of Britons (23%) and less than one in five Americans (19%), Germans (19%), Spaniards (18%) and French (17%) say cuts to public spending will affect them and their families at least a lot. Between 34% and 45% in each of the six countries say these spending cuts will affect them a moderate amount.

So what?
As deficits continue to rise, governments around the world will have to make some very tough decisions as to how to reduce them. While spending cuts are the preferred method, the issue is what should be cut? And, since political figures are not trusted to deal with the fiscal crisis, every cut will be closely scrutinized by a skeptical public. Whether the various administrations pass this scrutiny or not may be seen the next time each country holds elections.

TABLE 1
          THE FINANCIAL CRISIS AND PEOPLE'S TRUST IN POLITICIANS
        "How much do you trust politicians in your country to deal
               effectively with the current fiscal crisis?"
  Base: All EU adults in five countries and U.S. adults

                       United
                       States    Great  France  Italy  Spain  Germany
                               Britain
                          %        %       %      %       %      %
  At least a lot (NET)       5        7       5      5      6        5
       A great deal       *           2    *         1      1        1
       A lot                 5        5       5      4      5        4
   A moderate amount        26       26      31     22     19       26
   A little                 29       33      24     36     37       23
  Not at all                39       34      40     37     38       45


  Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding




                                      TABLE 2
                REDUCING THE DEFICIT - SPENDING CUTS VS. TAXES RISES
          "Generally, there are two ways (and multiple variations of these
         ways) for governments to reduce deficits: cutting public spending
          and raising taxes. Which one of the following options would you
                         prefer to see your country take?"
  Base: All EU adults in five countries and U.S. adults

                             United  Great   France  Italy Spain Germany
                             States  Britain
                                %       %       %      %     %      %
  I would prefer spending
   cuts to paying higher
   taxes                          38      30      48    50    48       42
  I would prefer a mixture
   of the two, but with
   spending cuts bearing the
   bigger part of the burden      40      47      39    37    36       42
  I would prefer a mixture
   of the two, but with tax
   rises bearing the bigger
   part of the burden             17      17       9    11    12       12
  I would prefer higher
   taxes to spending cuts          5       6       4     3     3        4


  Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding



                                  TABLE 3
                      SPENDING CUTS AND PEOPLE'S SAY
  "Do you think your government should find a way of consulting you and
      other citizens before deciding where the cuts should be made?"
  Base: All EU adults in five countries and U.S. adults

                           United
                           States  Great  France  Italy  Spain  Germany
                                  Britain
                             %       %       %       %      %      %
  Yes                          80      65      73     71     72       77
  No                           10      19      21     18     20       14
  I have no opinion either
   way                          9      16       6     10      9        9


  Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding



                                    TABLE 4
                  SPENDING CUTS AND THEIR IMPACT ON FAMILIES
     "If your country were to decide to cut public spending, how much, if
        at all, do you think the cuts will affect you and your family?"
  Base: All EU adults in five countries and U.S. adults

                       United
                       States    Great  France  Italy  Spain  Germany
                               Britain
                          %        %       %      %      %        %
  At least a lot (NET)      19       23      17     25     18       19
       A great deal          7        7       4      5      5        6
       A lot                12       16      13     20     13       13
   A moderate amount        38       37      42     45     44       34
   A little                 33       33      25     25     27       35
  Not at all                10        8      16      5     11       12


  Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
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